Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 383.726256 436.201203 494.684408 564.958762 647.453451 741.637248 857.897031
2025-09-21 303.364801 371.180217 453.757040 562.760560 704.430628 884.495264 1134.188793
2025-09-28 250.062408 320.369822 410.917111 537.962704 714.668684 956.394119 1320.339472
2025-10-05 228.143865 303.982754 406.479977 558.192867 782.391547 1110.368582 1643.725339
2025-10-12 213.093929 293.718402 407.358394 583.718878 858.961680 1287.200568 2035.929827
2025-10-19 194.943379 276.292764 395.012298 586.724918 900.173908 1414.621019 2373.703872
2025-10-26 175.506200 254.520886 373.205121 571.353995 908.380769 1487.596923 2630.068464
2025-11-02 160.262729 237.330697 356.189511 560.846875 922.062986 1570.590415 2921.364450
2025-11-09 152.689476 231.128563 355.514210 576.831922 983.314136 1748.748449 3442.385216
2025-11-16 142.590039 219.849639 345.272898 574.759453 1010.937182 1867.171876 3866.214156
2025-11-23 132.758000 208.082449 332.964548 567.308835 1026.879680 1964.392826 4266.409657
2025-11-30 125.744630 200.370471 326.748043 570.070211 1062.821805 2108.953764 4818.043598
2025-12-07 116.844355 188.896352 313.210499 558.063316 1068.339573 2191.431527 5245.273833
2025-12-14 110.182294 180.794739 304.994735 555.481722 1093.460160 2323.712309 5849.727720
2025-12-21 101.178479 167.860613 286.839846 531.086415 1067.716114 2331.190219 6102.777604
2025-12-28 98.840564 166.682290 290.337132 551.006497 1143.708692 2602.723610 7241.710240
2026-01-04 97.244453 166.698985 296.039284 576.139941 1235.844642 2936.733275 8719.176024
2026-01-11 93.167955 161.768716 291.688064 579.099519 1275.307143 3138.701135 9832.412192
2026-01-18 87.457290 153.342558 279.735945 563.965667 1267.615897 3206.849871 10484.640345
2026-01-25 82.707265 146.450473 270.339004 553.619910 1270.732846 3307.739363 11311.107839
2026-02-01 80.899735 145.146766 272.212954 569.359243 1344.686968 3640.335605 13255.606782
2026-02-08 77.519669 140.507330 266.784373 567.318705 1370.424553 3828.262099 14671.090874
2026-02-15 73.902597 135.164861 259.470074 559.982698 1380.419838 3967.664178 15939.330944